Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 36, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Mert Alkaya		Massimo Giunta

	1	2
	1.74	2.04
	1.56	2.22	Watch
	1.71	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)	2.09 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
55.6%

Massimo Giunta
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mert Alkaya's form might have worsened.

Massimo Giunta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Massimo Giunta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Massimo Giunta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mert Alkaya - Massimo Giunta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 687. Giunta is ranked ATP: 770.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Alkaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alkaya could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
27.09.25	John Hallquist Lithen - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Mert Alkaya - Seydina Andre	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Mert Alkaya - Anton Shepp	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Mert Alkaya - Nicolas Ifi	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Mert Alkaya	Callejon H. S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWW?
- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
27.09.25	Massimo Giunta - Luca Wiedenmann	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Hazem Naw - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Jorge Plans - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Nicolas Philibert - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Stefan Popovic - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

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