Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Mert Alkaya		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.5	1.49
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.09)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
37.6%

Matthew Dellavedova
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mert Alkaya's form might have worsened.

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matthew Dellavedova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 815. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 393.

Recent matches Alkaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dellavedova is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dellavedova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Matyas Fuele - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Andreas Timini - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Jayden Summers - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Jayden Summers - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Cem Ilkel - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Federico Cina - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Hiroki Moriya - Matthew Dellavedova	Moriya H. walkover ✺
16.02.25	Arnav Paparkar - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Pavle Marinkov - Matthew Dellavedova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LL?W?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Yan Cheng Chen - Mert Alkaya	✺
- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yaojie Zeng	✺

Mert Alkaya - Matthew Dellavedova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide