Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Mert Alkaya		Paul Jubb

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.08	1.8
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.93)	1.73 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
46%

Paul Jubb
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mert Alkaya's performance.

Paul Jubb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paul Jubb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mert Alkaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paul Jubb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mert Alkaya - Paul Jubb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alkaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Jubb will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 349. Jubb is ranked ATP: 280.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Alkaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jubb is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Mukund Sasikumar - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Massimo Giunta - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Federico Iannaccone - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL
- Paul Jubb
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Karim Bennani - Paul Jubb	Jubb P. Retired ✺
21.04.26	Aziz Dougaz - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.04.26	Paul Jubb - Grigory Shebekin	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Paul Jubb - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?WLW

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