Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Mia Ristic		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.83)	1.49 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mia Ristic
37.3%

Darya Astakhova
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mia Ristic's form might have worsened.

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darya Astakhova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mia Ristic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darya Astakhova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mia Ristic - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ristic is ranked WTA: 273. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 380.

Recent form of Ristic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astakhova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Astakhova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mia Ristic - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Mia Ristic - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Gabriela Ce - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Mia Ristic - Margaux Rouvroy	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Ekaterina Maklakova - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Mia Ristic - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Tena Lukas - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Anastasija Cvetkovic - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Alexandra Shubladze - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Darya Astakhova - Angela Fita Boluda	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW

Mia Ristic - Darya Astakhova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide