Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W40 KURSUMLIJSKA BANJA (SERBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Mia Ristic		Gergana Topalova

	1	2
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.31	3.23
	1.36	3
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	3.11 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mia Ristic
70.2%

Gergana Topalova
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mia Ristic's performance.

Gergana Topalova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gergana Topalova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mia Ristic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gergana Topalova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Ristic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Topalova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ristic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ristic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
26.09.23	Mia Ristic - Diana Marcinkevica	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Dejana Radanovic - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Anastasia Gasanova - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Gergana Topalova - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Gergana Topalova - Denislava Glushkova	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Justina Mikulskyte - Gergana Topalova	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Gergana Topalova - Ksenia Zaytseva	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Gergana Topalova - Kaylah McPhee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Mia Ristic - Gergana Topalova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide