Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Michael Geerts		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2.12
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
52.4%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Michael Geerts - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Stebe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 293. Stebe is ranked ATP: 888.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Stebe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Nicolas Kicker - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Max Houkes - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Alec Deckers - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Jip Van Assendelft - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Stijn Paardekooper - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ITF Tournaments
29.06.25	Jakub Nicod - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	Nicod J. retired ✺
28.06.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Adrian Oetzbach - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Calvin Hemery - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWL

Michael Geerts - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide