Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Sierra J. (Esp)


	Michael Geerts		Dan Added

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.54	2.54
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)	2.43 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
61.6%

Dan Added
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Geerts's performance.

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dan Added might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dan Added could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michael Geerts - Dan Added Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Added is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Added could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Geerts will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Geerts won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	Marek Gengel - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Diego Fernandez Flores - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Tiago Silva - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW
- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Dan Added - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Fabrizio Andaloro - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Yaroslav Demin - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
01.07.24	Dan Added - Niklas Schell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Dan Added - Michael Geerts	0:2
28.03.22	Michael Geerts - Dan Added	0:2

Michael Geerts - Dan Added: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide