Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Michael Vrbensky		Dali Blanch

	1	2
			Watch
	3.6	1.24
	4.05	1.26
	3.56	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.57	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.54)	1.25 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
25.2%

Dali Blanch
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Vrbensky's form might have worsened.

Dali Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dali Blanch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Vrbensky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dali Blanch than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dali Blanch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Vrbensky - Dali Blanch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 606. Blanch is ranked ATP: 369.

Vrbensky is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blanch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blanch is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Dali Blanch - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Robin Bertrand - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Daniel Cukierman - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Franco Agamenone - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Dali Blanch
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Denis Klok - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Dali Blanch - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Dali Blanch	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dali Blanch - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW

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