Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Denis Yevseyev		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.29
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)	2.16 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
56.7%

Michael Vrbensky
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Vrbensky's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 364. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 568.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Yevseyev might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yevseyev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - David Vega Hernandez	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Denis Yevseyev - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
17.02.26	Alexandr Binda - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Denis Yevseyev - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?LW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Andrew Paulson - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Michael Vrbensky - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Matej Dodig - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Michael Vrbensky - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.22	Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky	2:0
04.07.21	Michael Vrbensky - Denis Yevseyev	0:2
16.07.19	Michael Vrbensky - Denis Yevseyev	0:2

Denis Yevseyev - Michael Vrbensky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide