Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca - Qualification, clay - Semi-finalsDate: 30 March 2026, Monday ๐ Finished Surface: ๐ด Clay
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Yaroslav Demin |
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Michael Vrbensky |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Yaroslav Demin 46.6% | Michael Vrbensky 53.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Demin will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Vrbensky will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vrbensky: 39.2% โ 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Demin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vrbensky (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Demin is ranked ATP: 699. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 568.Demin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Vrbensky's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. The players have not played against each other recently.