Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay - Final

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday


	Michael Vrbensky		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.93	1.75
	2.08	1.72
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.77	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.57)	1.75 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
47.2%

Daniel Michalski
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Vrbensky's form might have worsened.

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Michalski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Vrbensky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michael Vrbensky - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 279. Michalski is ranked ATP: 433.

Recent matches Vrbensky is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michalski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vrbensky will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Michael Vrbensky - Alec Beckley	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Michael Vrbensky - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Michael Vrbensky - Karol Drzewiecki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Michael Vrbensky - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	Manuel Guinard - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
24.08.24	Daniel Michalski - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Olaf Pieczkowski - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
22.08.24	Tomasz Berkieta - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Szymon Kielan - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

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