Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Michael Vrbensky		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	3
			Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.85)	2.77 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Vrbensky
66.4%

Matthew Dellavedova
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Vrbensky's performance.

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Dellavedova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Vrbensky that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Dellavedova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 500. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 406.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dellavedova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vrbensky might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Hynek Barton - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Timothee Lustig - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Thomas Faurel - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Manuel Plunger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Ivan Gakhov - Matthew Dellavedova	Dellavedova M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWW?

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