Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Jakub Paul		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.4	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.73)	2.67 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
65.2%

Michael Vrbensky
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.

Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Vrbensky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Paul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 335. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 427.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Vrbensky - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Jakub Paul - Maxim Zhukov	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Jakub Paul - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Jakub Paul - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Jakub Paul - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Timothee Lustig - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Michael Vrbensky - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Michael Vrbensky - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Michael Vrbensky - Christian Wedel	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Michael Vrbensky - Mikalai Haliak	Haliak M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.05.23	Michael Vrbensky - Jakub Paul	2:0
16.05.23	Michael Vrbensky - Jakub Paul	2:0

Jakub Paul - Michael Vrbensky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide