Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Michael Zheng		Oliver Tarvet

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.57	2.27	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)	2.23 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Zheng
58.3%

Oliver Tarvet
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Oliver Tarvet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Michael Zheng - Oliver Tarvet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Zheng (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zheng is ranked ATP: 227. Tarvet is ranked ATP: 388.

Zheng has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tarvet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tarvet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Zheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Zheng
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Michael Zheng - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Michael Zheng - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Alfredo Perez - Michael Zheng	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Michael Zheng - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Oliver Tarvet
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Oliver Tarvet - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Oliver Tarvet - Blaise Bicknell	Bicknell B. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Oliver Tarvet - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Oliver Tarvet - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Oliver Tarvet - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?WWW

Michael Zheng - Oliver Tarvet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide