Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Michal Krajci		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
	2.06	1.68
	2.07	1.65	Watch
	2.03	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michal Krajci
44.7%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michal Krajci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michal Krajci's form might have worsened.

Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pietro Orlando Fellin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michal Krajci than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

Krajci is ranked ATP: 722., and Fellin is ranked ATP: 638..

In recent outings, Krajci has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fellin is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Krajci could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Michal Krajci - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Pietro Orlando Fellin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michal Krajci
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Robert Strombachs - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Anmar Faleh Alhogbani - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Millen Hurrion - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Essa Qabazard - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Maximilian Heidlmair - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWW
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Karim Ibrahim	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Pietro Orlando Fellin	Ouakaa A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.08.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LW?LL

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