Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kingston 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucas Andrade Da Silva		Pietro Orlando Fellin

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.52	2.35
	1.50	2.58
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.49	2.40
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.43 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Andrade Da Silva
61.9%

Pietro Orlando Fellin
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Andrade Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Andrade Da Silva than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Andrade Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietro Orlando Fellin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Andrade Da Silva is ranked ATP: 820. Fellin is ranked ATP: 539.

Andrade Da Silva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fellin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Andrade Da Silva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Andrade Da Silva
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Juan Estevez - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Benjamin Torrealba	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
06.07.26	Luca Potenza - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Johannes Ingildsen - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Matyas Cerny - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Veljko Krstic - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WWLW

Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Pietro Orlando Fellin

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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