Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Pietro Orlando Fellin		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.47	1.53
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.50
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.36)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietro Orlando Fellin
37.7%

Miguel Tobon
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pietro Orlando Fellin - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fellin is ranked ATP: 539. Tobon is ranked ATP: 499.

Fellin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tobon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tobon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
06.07.26	Luca Potenza - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Johannes Ingildsen - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Matyas Cerny - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 L?WWL
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Miguel Tobon - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Miguel Tobon - Lorenzo Claverie	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
25.07.26	Miguel Tobon - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Tiago Pereira - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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