Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kamen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kamen 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Michel Hopp		Nikolai Barsukov

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.33	1.53
	2.41	1.58
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michel Hopp
40.5%

Nikolai Barsukov
59.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michel Hopp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michel Hopp's form might have worsened.

Nikolai Barsukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikolai Barsukov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michel Hopp than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Michel Hopp - Nikolai Barsukov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hopp is ranked ATP: 881. Barsukov is ranked ATP: 741.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barsukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Michel Hopp - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michel Hopp
ITF Tournaments
05.06.26	Michel Hopp - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Louis Wessels - Michel Hopp	Wessels L. Retired ✺
03.06.26	Tom Sickenberger - Michel Hopp	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Max Wiskandt - Michel Hopp	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Michel Hopp - Astro Pilipovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L?WLW
- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Pieter De Lange - Nikolai Barsukov	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Manvydas Balciunas - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Lasse Poertner - Nikolai Barsukov	Poertner L. Retired ✺
09.06.26	Lilian Marmousez - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Martins Rocens - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LW?LW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michel Hopp
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Miles Jones - Michel Hopp	✺

Michel Hopp - Nikolai Barsukov