Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Fano, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Michele Mecarelli		Stefano DAgostino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.81	1.89
	1.91	1.91
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.89	1.88
	1.87	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Mecarelli
50%

Stefano DAgostino
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Mecarelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Stefano DAgostino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Mecarelli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Michele Mecarelli - Stefano DAgostino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mecarelli is ranked ATP: 950. DAgostino is ranked ATP: 846.

Recent performances by Mecarelli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

DAgostino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mecarelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Mecarelli
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Daniele Minighini	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Michele Mecarelli - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Michele Mecarelli - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Andrea Tognolini - Michele Mecarelli	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Leonardo Borrelli - Michele Mecarelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Vito Antonio Darderi - Stefano DAgostino	Darderi V. A. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Alexander Weis - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Leonardo Primucci - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Stefano DAgostino	Canceled ✺
17.07.26	Stefano DAgostino - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?LW?L

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