Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Michele Ribecai		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.5
	2.57	1.56
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.54
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.64)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
37.9%

Jack Pinnington Jones
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Pinnington Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Michele Ribecai - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 264. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 165.

Ribecai is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pinnington Jones's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ribecai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pinnington Jones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	George Loffhagen - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Johannus Monday - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Anton Matusevich - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Mark Ceban - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Moez Echargui - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Andres Andrade - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

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