The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andre Ilagan 44.2%
Jack Pinnington Jones 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
63.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andre Ilagan's performance.
Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jack Pinnington Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andre Ilagan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Pinnington Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Ilagan is ranked ATP: 210.Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 177.
Ilagan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pinnington Jones's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pinnington Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pinnington Jones is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.