Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday


	Mark Ceban		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.28	1.56
	2.34	1.65
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.44)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Ceban
40.8%

Michele Ribecai
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Ceban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Ceban than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Ceban that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michele Ribecai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mark Ceban - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ceban is ranked ATP: 2097. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 260.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ceban may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ribecai might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Ceban
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Anton Matusevich - Mark Ceban	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Mark Ceban - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Anton Shepp - Mark Ceban	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Lui Maxted - Mark Ceban	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Mark Ceban - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWLW
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
07.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Michele Ribecai - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Hugo Dellien - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Mark Ceban - Michele Ribecai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide