Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Michele Ribecai		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.52)	1.75 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
45.6%

Pol Martin Tiffon
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michele Ribecai's performance.

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pol Martin Tiffon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michele Ribecai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michele Ribecai - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 608. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 269.

Ribecai is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martin Tiffon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martin Tiffon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ribecai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Michele Ribecai - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Michele Ribecai - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Lorenzo Beraldo - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Mattias Pisanu - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Antonio Caruso - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Michele Ribecai	2:0

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