Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Stefano Napolitano		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.54	2.32
	1.53	2.61
	1.60	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	2.3 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
59%

Pol Martin Tiffon
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pol Martin Tiffon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefano Napolitano - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Napolitano (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 847. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 280.

Napolitano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martin Tiffon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin Tiffon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Napolitano could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Stefano Napolitano - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Stefano Napolitano - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide