Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CASTELLON (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Miguel Damas		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	3.13	1.35
	2.75	1.4
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.37)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
31.5%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Lopez Montagud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Lopez Montagud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Damas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lopez Montagud will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lopez Montagud to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Damas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
19.10.23	Miguel Damas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Miguel Damas - Bruno Pujol Navarro	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Miguel Damas - Sam Kydd Baumgartner	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
19.10.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2
19.10.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	Noah Regas Luis - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Felix Gill - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.09.21	Miguel Damas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2
05.08.21	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	2:0

Miguel Damas - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide