Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Miguel Damas		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.77
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
45.7%

Gianluca Cadenasso
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Cadenasso (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 303. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 305.

Damas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cadenasso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Miguel Damas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Miguel Damas - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniele Minighini	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lucca Helguera Casado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Miguel Damas - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide