Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Miguel Damas		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.1
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	2.06 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
54.7%

Tiago Pereira
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Damas's form might have worsened.

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Pereira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Damas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Miguel Damas - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Damas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pereira will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pereira: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tiago Pereira will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 315. Pereira is ranked ATP: 268.

Recent performances by Damas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pereira is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Miguel Damas - Alex Martinez	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Miguel Damas - Bruno Pujol Navarro	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Miguel Damas - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Miguel Damas - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Jaime Faria - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Tiago Pereira - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Tiago Pereira - Johannus Monday	Canceled ✺
13.01.26	Mika Brunold - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
06.01.26	Tiago Pereira - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LL??L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Tiago Pereira - Miguel Damas	2:0

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