Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Miguel Tobon		Elmar Ejupovic

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	4.42	1.19	Watch
			Watch
	4.02	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (2.47)	1.21 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
22.2%

Elmar Ejupovic
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Tobon's form might have worsened.

Elmar Ejupovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmar Ejupovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmar Ejupovic than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmar Ejupovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Miguel Tobon - Elmar Ejupovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 1141. Ejupovic is ranked ATP: 623.

Tobon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ejupovic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tobon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ejupovic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Miguel Tobon - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Arvid Nordquist - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Miguel Tobon - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Miguel Tobon - Keshav Chopra	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Miguel Tobon - Lucas Bouquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Elmar Ejupovic
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Elmar Ejupovic	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Maxime Janvier - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Karl Poling - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Elmar Ejupovic - Max Wiskandt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL

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