Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday


	Mika Brunold		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	1.87	1.8
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.59)	1.83 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
49.7%

Alexander Weis
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Brunold's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Brunold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mika Brunold - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 534. Weis is ranked ATP: 341.

Brunold in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Weis is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Weis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brunold will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Brunold to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brunold won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ITF Tournaments
20.08.24	Leonardo Malgaroli - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Mika Brunold - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Petr Nesterov - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Christoph Negritu - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Filippo Speziali - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
21.08.24	Pietro Pampanin - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alexander Weis - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Niklas Waldner - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
14.08.24	Johan Nikles - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.06.22	Mika Brunold - Alexander Weis	0:2

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