Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Mika Brunold		Beibit Zhukayev

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.99	1.73
	2.13	1.73
	3.92	1.22	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Brunold
39.9%

Beibit Zhukayev
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Brunold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mika Brunold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beibit Zhukayev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mika Brunold - Beibit Zhukayev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brunold (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brunold is ranked ATP: 303. Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 282.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Brunold
ATP Basel
18.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Mika Brunold - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mika Brunold - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Arthur Bouquier - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWW
- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	George Loffhagen - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tomas Lanik - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW

Mika Brunold - Beibit Zhukayev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide