Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Mika Petkovic		Maxime Chazal

	1	2
	1.97	1.71	Watch
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mika Petkovic
44.9%

Maxime Chazal
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mika Petkovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mika Petkovic's form might have worsened.

Maxime Chazal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxime Chazal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Petkovic than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mika Petkovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxime Chazal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mika Petkovic - Maxime Chazal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Petkovic is ranked ATP: 836. Chazal is ranked ATP: 578.

Petkovic has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chazal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mika Petkovic
ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Paolo Schiavone - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Mika Petkovic - Stijn Paardekooper	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Mika Petkovic	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Mika Petkovic - Abel Forger	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Noah Thurner - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Oleg Prihodko - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Damian Wenger - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Tymur Bieldiugin - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.25	Florent Bax - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Mika Petkovic - Maxime Chazal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide