Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Montreal, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Mikael Arseneault		Alan Magadan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.98	1.36
	1.70	2.00	Watch
	2.98	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.99)	1.57 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikael Arseneault
38.1%

Alan Magadan
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikael Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikael Arseneault's performance.

Alan Magadan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alan Magadan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Arseneault than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikael Arseneault that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Magadan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alan Magadan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mikael Arseneault - Alan Magadan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked ATP: 1138. Magadan is ranked ATP: 758.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Magadan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Magadan is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikael Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Mikael Arseneault	Arseneault N. retired ✺
31.10.25	Mikael Arseneault - Billy Suarez	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Ryan Fishback - Mikael Arseneault	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Mikael Arseneault - David Asenov	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Mikael Arseneault - Charlelie Cosnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?LWWL
- Alan Magadan
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Niklas Schell - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Alan Magadan - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Alan Magadan - Martin Borisiouk	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Kaylan Bigun - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Gianluca Brunkow - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Mikael Arseneault - Alan Magadan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide