Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.17	1.61
	2.27	1.65
	2.25	1.57
	2.26	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
41.7%

Alejandro Tabilo
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikhail Kukushkin's performance.

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikhail Kukushkin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tabilo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Roma
08.05.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Pablo Andujar-Alba	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Carlos Gimeno Valero	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
06.04.21	Mikhail Kukushkin - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Aslan Karatsev - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
12.05.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
10.05.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
05.05.21	Maxime Cressy - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
03.05.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Yuichi Sugita	Sugita Y. retired ✺
29.04.21	Renzo Olivo - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWL?L

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