Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trier (Germany), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Milan Welte		Liam Gavrielides

	1	2
	3.25	1.28
	3.2	1.28
	3.28	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.34	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.25)	1.29 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan Welte
28.1%

Liam Gavrielides
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan Welte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan Welte's form might have worsened.

Liam Gavrielides has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Gavrielides's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan Welte than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan Welte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Gavrielides than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Gavrielides, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milan Welte - Liam Gavrielides Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Welte is ranked ATP: 1269. Gavrielides is ranked ATP: 576.

Welte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gavrielides is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Welte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gavrielides will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gavrielides to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milan Welte
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Mats Rosenkranz - Milan Welte	Welte M. walkover ✺
20.08.24	Milan Welte - Joao Antonio	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Damian Wenger - Milan Welte	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Milan Welte - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Milan Welte - Max Wiskandt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WLLL
- Liam Gavrielides
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Noel Larwig - Liam Gavrielides	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Tom Sickenberger - Liam Gavrielides	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Liam Gavrielides - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Justin Engel - Liam Gavrielides	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	David Fix - Liam Gavrielides	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Milan Welte - Liam Gavrielides: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide