Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Mili Poljicak		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.71	2.13
	1.58	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	2.13 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
56.4%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Prado Angelo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 279. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 261.

Recent form of Poljicak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Prado Angelo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Prado Angelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Matteo Gigante - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Richard Berankis - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Federico Cina - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Mili Poljicak - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Nicolas Kicker - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matteo Fondriest	Fondriest M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Filip Jeff Planinsek	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matteo Fondriest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LW?LW

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