Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Plese M. (Cro)


	Mili Poljicak		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.62
	1.47	2.62
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.72)	2.56 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
63.7%

Lorenzo Rottoli
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mili Poljicak's performance.

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Rottoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mili Poljicak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Rottoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Poljicak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Poljicak will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Michael Geerts - Mili Poljicak	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Vuk Radjenovic - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Mili Poljicak - Dusan Obradovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 W?LWW
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Carlos Gimeno Valero	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lorenzo Carbone	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Mathias Bourgue - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Mark Wallner - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Rottoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide