Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Mili Poljicak		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	3	1.37	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
33.7%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mili Poljicak - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 275. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 111.

Recent matches Poljicak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Seyboth Wild is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seyboth Wild could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Seyboth Wild will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

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