Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 FALUN (SWEDEN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: FALUN (SWEDEN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Milos Karol		Yannik Steinegger

	1	2
	1.72	2
	1.79	1.95
	1.73	2
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.14)	1.97 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
53.1%

Yannik Steinegger
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milos Karol's performance.

Yannik Steinegger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannik Steinegger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milos Karol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannik Steinegger than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannik Steinegger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Karol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Steinegger is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Adrian Oetzbach - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Milos Karol - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Milos Karol - Peter Heller	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Milos Karol - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW
- Yannik Steinegger
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Yannik Steinegger - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Nicolas Kobelt - Yannik Steinegger	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Yannik Steinegger - Thomas Deschamps	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Yannik Steinegger	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Andrea Militi Ribaldi - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Milos Karol - Yannik Steinegger

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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