Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday


	Mingge Xu		Naho Sato

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.7	1.99
	1.67	2.12
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.07)	2.03 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingge Xu
54.5%

Naho Sato
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingge Xu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingge Xu's performance.

Naho Sato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naho Sato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingge Xu than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingge Xu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naho Sato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mingge Xu - Naho Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Xu is ranked WTA: 604. Sato is ranked WTA: 344.

Recent matches Xu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Xu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingge Xu
ITF Tournaments
31.07.24	Mingge Xu - Naho Sato	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Mingge Xu - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Ankita Raina - Mingge Xu	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Danielle Daley - Mingge Xu	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Mingge Xu - Amarni Banks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW
- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
01.08.24	Gabriella Da Silva Fick - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Mingge Xu - Naho Sato	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Naho Sato - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Naho Sato - Tamira Paszek	0:2 ✺
25.06.24	Naho Sato - Yi Tsen Cho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.07.24	Mingge Xu - Naho Sato	1:2

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