Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Sao Paulo 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Miriana Tona		Carolina Alves

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.4	1.5
	2.46	1.52
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.48	1.49	Watch
	2.42	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.47)	1.48 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriana Tona
37.5%

Carolina Alves
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriana Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miriana Tona's performance.

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carolina Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miriana Tona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carolina Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tona is ranked WTA: 373. Alves is ranked WTA: 250.

Tona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alves will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Alves - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriana Tona
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Miriana Tona - Julia Konishi Camargo Silva	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Miriana Tona - Sylvie Zund	2:0 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
09.09.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Lian Tran - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pietra Rivoli - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Berta Bonardi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
08.09.25	Carolina Alves - Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Carolina Alves - Dana Guzman	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Carolina Alves - Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.04.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	2:0
20.03.25	Miriana Tona - Carolina Alves	2:0
04.05.24	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	2:0
30.03.24	Carolina Alves - Miriana Tona	0:2

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