Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Arequipa (Peru), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday


	Miriana Tona		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.34	1.51
	2.57	1.48
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.39	1.53	Watch
	2.34	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miriana Tona
38.5%

Jasmin Ortenzi
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miriana Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miriana Tona's form might have worsened.

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmin Ortenzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miriana Tona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmin Ortenzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tona is ranked WTA: 336. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 441.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ortenzi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miriana Tona
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Miriana Tona - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Miriana Tona - Katya Ramirez	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Miriana Tona - Fanny Stollar	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Miriana Tona - Sara Cakarevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.24	Amandine Monnot - Miriana Tona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Julia Konishi Camargo Silva - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
09.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ana Candiotto	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Jasmin Ortenzi - Miriana Tona	2:0

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