Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday


	Mirza Basic		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.8
	2.1	1.7
	1.94	1.77
	2	1.83
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
47.1%

Alexey Vatutin
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexey Vatutin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexey Vatutin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mirza Basic - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Basic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vatutin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basic has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vatutin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vatutin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vatutin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Steven Diez - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
29.08.22	Mirza Basic - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
23.08.22	Mirza Basic - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
15.08.22	Mirza Basic - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
26.07.22	Nuno Borges - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Matteo Gigante - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
12.09.22	Antoine Bellier - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Alexey Vatutin - Albano Olivetti	0:2 ✺
26.08.22	Alexey Vatutin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
25.08.22	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.19	Mirza Basic - Alexey Vatutin	0:2
01.02.18	Alexey Vatutin - Mirza Basic	2:1
ATP Doha
30.12.17	Alexey Vatutin - Mirza Basic	0:2

Mirza Basic - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide