Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Mirza Basic		Lucas Catarina

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	3.9
	1.26	3.7	Watch
	1.2	3.85
	1.22	4.3
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	3.91 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
76%

Lucas Catarina
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.

Lucas Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Catarina than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirza Basic - Lucas Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Basic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Catarina is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
Davis Cup World Group I
18.09.21	Nicolas Alvarez - Mirza Basic	Canceled ✺
17.09.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.21	Mirza Basic - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
07.09.21	Vit Kopriva - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
24.08.21	Javier Barranco Cosano - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?LLWL
- Lucas Catarina
ATP Challenger
14.09.21	Lucas Catarina - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.21	Lucas Catarina - Kenny De Schepper	1:2 ✺
01.09.21	Lucas Catarina - Maxence Broville	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.21	Lucas Catarina - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
25.07.21	Lucas Catarina - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Mirza Basic - Lucas Catarina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide