Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Mirza Basic		Sergi Perez Contri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.93	1.9
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
49.8%

Sergi Perez Contri
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sergi Perez Contri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergi Perez Contri than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mirza Basic - Sergi Perez Contri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perez Contri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 480. Perez Contri is ranked ATP: 578.

In recent matches, Basic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perez Contri is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mirza Basic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sergi Perez Contri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Mirza Basic - Nazar Oliynykov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Niels Visker - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Sergi Perez Contri
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Ben Jones - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.02.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Sander Jong	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alejandro Juan Mano - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ignacio Parisca - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Sergi Perez Contri - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Mirza Basic - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2

Mirza Basic - Sergi Perez Contri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide