Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12, clay - Final

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Mirza Basic		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.46	2.63
	1.27	3.31	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.45	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)	2.75 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
66.1%

Tommaso Compagnucci
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommaso Compagnucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommaso Compagnucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirza Basic - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 589. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 458.

Now, both players are in good form.

Basic could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Nikita Bilozertsev - Mirza Basic	Bilozertsev N. retired ✺
25.07.25	Mirza Basic - Nicolas Ifi	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Mirza Basic - Valentin Guadagno	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Mirza Basic - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Josip Simundza - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 ?WWWW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Andreas Timini - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Mateo Del Pino - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Egor Pleshivtsev - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Radu Albot - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Mirza Basic - Tommaso Compagnucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide