Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 13, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 13 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrey Chepelev		Tommaso Compagnucci

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Andrey Chepelev
45.5%

Tommaso Compagnucci
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Chepelev is ranked ATP: 661. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 454.

Now, both players are in good form.

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Compagnucci is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Compagnucci will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chepelev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Aleksa Pisaric	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Alejandro Arcila	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Amit Vales - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Vlado Jankanj - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Sergej Zivkovic - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Mirza Basic - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Andreas Timini - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2
ATP Challenger
19.09.22	Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:1

Andrey Chepelev - Tommaso Compagnucci