Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Taipei, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Misaki Matsuda		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.2	1.6
	2.29	1.64
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Misaki Matsuda
41.7%

Haruka Kaji
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Misaki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Misaki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Misaki Matsuda - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked WTA: 370. Kaji is ranked WTA: 288.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Matsuda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Misaki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Eri Shimizu - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Reina Goto - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Misaki Matsuda - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Misaki Matsuda - Jeongha Oh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
17.06.26	Eunhye Lee - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Hikaru Sato - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Haruka Kaji - Ya Yi Yang	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Valentina Ryser	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Rina Saigo - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.05.26	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	2:0
09.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	0:2
15.08.24	Misaki Matsuda - Haruka Kaji	0:2

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