Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Miyazaki, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Misaki Matsuda		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.39	3.04
	1.34	2.94	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)	2.86 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Misaki Matsuda
67.5%

Sakura Hosogi
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Misaki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Misaki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Misaki Matsuda - Sakura Hosogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked WTA: 384. Hosogi is ranked WTA: 387.

Matsuda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hosogi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hosogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Matsuda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Misaki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Misaki Matsuda - Miho Kuramochi	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Misaki Matsuda - Hina Inoue	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Himari Sato - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Sakura Hosogi - Mutsumi Uemura	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Sakura Hosogi - Jaeda Daniel	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Sakura Hosogi - Viktoria Morvayova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Elvina Kalieva - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Sakura Hosogi - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Misaki Matsuda - Sakura Hosogi	2:0

Misaki Matsuda - Sakura Hosogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide