Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Midland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sakura Hosogi		Claire Liu

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Sakura Hosogi
22.5%

Claire Liu
77.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

79.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakura Hosogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Hosogi is ranked WTA: 323. Liu is ranked WTA: 213.

Recent performances by Hosogi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Liu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liu is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakura Hosogi
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Sakura Hosogi - Alana Smith	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sakura Hosogi - Carson Tanguilig	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sakura Hosogi - Stefi Marithe Aludo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.01.26	Sakura Hosogi - Fangran Tian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL
- Claire Liu
ITF Tournaments
23.01.26	Claire Liu - Fiona Ferro	Ferro F. walkover ✺
21.01.26	Claire Liu - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Claire Liu - Maddison Inglis	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Tara Wurth - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Claire Liu - Katerina Siniakova	✺

Sakura Hosogi - Claire Liu