Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Moerani Bouzige		Egor Agafonov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.06	1.74
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moerani Bouzige
45.2%

Egor Agafonov
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moerani Bouzige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moerani Bouzige's form might have worsened.

Egor Agafonov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Agafonov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moerani Bouzige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Agafonov than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egor Agafonov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Moerani Bouzige - Egor Agafonov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bouzige will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Agafonov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzige is ranked ATP: 401. Agafonov is ranked ATP: 497.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Agafonov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Agafonov will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bouzige won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moerani Bouzige
ATP Challenger
03.05.25	Moerani Bouzige - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Hoyoung Roh	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Egor Agafonov
ATP Challenger
03.05.25	Sheng Tang - Egor Agafonov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Egor Agafonov - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Egor Agafonov - Moerani Bouzige	1:2

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